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Where did AfD voters come from, and where did they go?
(www.tagesschau.de)
Even more voter movement charts.
Bonus: "Do you think Germany's economic situation is good or bad?"
not even asking about personal economic conditions, just the overall state there's a massive fucking difference in perception.
Over here in SH urbanisation is actually reversing a bit. Only a bit, but on average villages aren't dealing with a draining population any more. Lots of really small places that have issues, but OTOH the people there drive regularly to some village populous enough to have a supermarket and see that it's quite stable. Just don't ever visit Neumünster.
And I also think that plays into the "great replacement" perception: There's a difference when a place of say 20k gets 100 refugees and that's it vs. getting 100 refugees and 1000 leaving to work elsewhere. Still nowhere close to rightoid conspiracy narratives, of course, but the incline of the curve looks quite different, it's much easier to spin a narrative out of such a situation.