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[-] iie@hexbear.net 54 points 1 month ago

Why has the official death toll in Gaza barely changed for months?

[-] iie@hexbear.net 68 points 1 month ago

Why did America try to overthrow Assad, and why did Russia step in? I’ve heard vague things about Americans guarding oil fields in Syria. Was the operation in Syria mostly motivated by oil or is the picture more complicated?

[-] iie@hexbear.net 53 points 3 months ago

that should be an automatic loss

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[-] iie@hexbear.net 75 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

I don't remember this many news stories about bigotry and poor sportsmanship in past olympics, is it just me?

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The twitter thread is referenced in this excellent article by the same journalist, Alan MacLeod, which I posted here yesterday, but I think it deserves its own post.

Thread reader: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1818050593468072023.html

If you don't feel like clicking a link, here are the tweets transcribed, with some links added:

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“I am actually kind of blown away by how advanced this system is, particularly compared to the backward nature of the U.S., so I am completely impressed,” Jodi Dean, a professor and political scientist, said.

[-] iie@hexbear.net 53 points 4 months ago

For anyone wondering, it sounds like they don't really expect to arrest him, it's more of a protest. They are planning to bus people in from around the country.

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In recent conflicts, such indirect deaths range from three to 15 times the number of direct deaths. Applying a conservative estimate of four indirect deaths per one direct death [9] to the 37,396 deaths reported, it is not implausible to estimate that up to 186,000 or even more deaths could be attributable to the current conflict in Gaza. Using the 2022 Gaza Strip population estimate of 2,375,259, this would translate to 7.9% of the total population in the Gaza Strip. A report from Feb 7, 2024, at the time when the direct death toll was 28,000, estimated that without a ceasefire there would be between 58,260 deaths (without an epidemic or escalation) and 85 750 deaths (if both occurred) by Aug 6, 2024.[10]

A note on the "direct death toll" of 37,396:

By June 19, 2024, 37 396 people had been killed in the Gaza Strip since the attack by Hamas and the Israeli invasion in October, 2023, according to the Gaza Health Ministry, as reported by the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs.[1] The Ministry's figures have been contested by the Israeli authorities, although they have been accepted as accurate by Israeli intelligence services,[2] the UN, and WHO. These data are supported by independent analyses, comparing changes in the number of deaths of UN Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA) staff with those reported by the Ministry,[3] which found claims of data fabrication implausible.[4]

Collecting data is becoming increasingly difficult for the Gaza Health Ministry due to the destruction of much of the infrastructure.[5] The Ministry has had to augment its usual reporting, based on people dying in its hospitals or brought in dead, with information from reliable media sources and first responders. This change has inevitably degraded the detailed data recorded previously. Consequently, the Gaza Health Ministry now reports separately the number of unidentified bodies among the total death toll. As of May 10, 2024, 30% of the 35 091 deaths were unidentified.[1]

Some officials and news agencies have used this development, designed to improve data quality, to undermine the veracity of the data. However, the number of reported deaths is likely an underestimate. The non-governmental organisation Airwars undertakes detailed assessments of incidents in the Gaza Strip and often finds that not all names of identifiable victims are included in the Ministry's list.[6] Furthermore, the UN estimates that, by Feb 29, 2024, 35% of buildings in the Gaza Strip had been destroyed,[5] so the number of bodies still buried in the rubble is likely substantial, with estimates of more than 10 000.[7]

This would raise the estimate to 237,000

[-] iie@hexbear.net 59 points 4 months ago

Tell me I’m not making this up

During the Vietnam War, the Viet Cong once prepared for a battle by notching all the trees along the route they expected to transport their artillery over, so when the time came they could fell the trees quickly and transport the artillery by surprise, without the Americans seeing a big path slowly forming in the jungle.

I know I read this somewhere, long ago. Does anyone know what battle this was?

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These are math estimates with margins, not official tallies, but the reasoning makes sense.

[-] iie@hexbear.net 57 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

(this is an in-joke where hexbears call themselves libs btw, not directed at OP)

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We need a better way to organize Hextube's (https://live.hexbear.net/) watch schedule during the week

[-] iie@hexbear.net 58 points 7 months ago

it's subtle, but I might be finally starting to gain a sense of self. I'm still getting used to it.

I've been depersonalized and spaced out pretty much all of my life.

[-] iie@hexbear.net 63 points 8 months ago

Help us send these children to live in a juvenile prison away from anyone who cares about them or their future.

[-] iie@hexbear.net 60 points 8 months ago

Won't someone think of Wells Fargo

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[-] iie@hexbear.net 66 points 11 months ago

Plagiarism is an understatement. Every single word was stolen without credit, usually from small-time queer authors languishing in obscurity.

[-] iie@hexbear.net 72 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

it’s often pointed out that a lot of these guys have npd, which, yeah I buy that, but if npd was the driving factor this would be happening everywhere on earth, or at least everywhere with a lot of guns. What America also has is the diseased atmosphere of a crumbling, self-aggrandizing racist superpower where various segments of society are scapegoated for it crumbling, and you don’t get that in the news or in Psychology Today.

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iie

joined 4 years ago