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this post was submitted on 26 Jun 2023
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Technology
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I don't know exactly where to start here, because anyone who claims to know the shape of the next decade is kidding themself.
Broadly:
AI will decocratize creation. If technology continues on the same pace that it has for the last few years, we will soon start to see movies and TV with hollywood-style production values being made by individual people and small teams. The same will go for video games. It's certainly disruptive, but I seriously doubt we will want to go back once it happens. To use the article's examples, most people prefer a world with street view and Uber to one without them.
The same goes for engineering.
It will shift a lot of human effort from generative to review. For example the core role of an engineer in many ways already is validation of a plan. Well that will become nearly the only role.
I disagree, this implies that AI are doing a lot more than they actually are. Before you design the physical layout of some thing, you have to identify a problem, and identify guidelines and empirical metrics against which you can compare your design to determine efficacy. This is half the job for engineers.
There's one step of the design process that I see current AI completing autonomously (implementation), and I view it as nontrivial to get the technology working higher up on the "V".
Agreed. Its a more impactful on software than physical engineering (untill robots can build more arbitrary objects) but that is my point, implementation is only a small part of the job.