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'There Will Be Blood': JPMorgan Hikes Odds of Trump-Triggered Recession to 60%.
(www.commondreams.org)
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this post was submitted on 04 Apr 2025
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The Federal Reserve now projects -3.7% GDP growth in Q1 2025. The 2008 recession was -2.6%, and covid was -2.2, for comparison.
Consider this too...Q1 ended on March 31st. They are predicting that drop before all this tariff shit got started.
Hell, Biden was president for 20 of the 90 days in that quarter.
So you're saying it's Bidens fault! /s
That... Doesn't seem good if I'm being totally honest
-3.7% so far.
Lol, if it's gonna happen, can it really get underway in the next 3 weeks?
The Australian Labor party could ride its credentials from the previous recession, which we basically came out of unscathed, into another term of government. Anything to avoid the Libs (the conservatives, confusingly for everyone else outside Australia).
Might be a bit of a stretch though, since we won't be able to sell as much raw materials to China as we did back then.
Anything to keep the Libs out of power, pls.
It's crazy that people thought Trump's plans were a good idea. Or that they still do, even now.
Do you have a source? Closest of what I can find is GDPNow https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow . But it is neither an official estimate nor from the federal reserve.
That is the federal reserve. It's composed of 12 district banks and that's one of them.
I thought federal reserve refers to the federal reserve board. And I am also surprised that the fedral reserve banks' website don't get .gov domains.
Not trying to argue with you, the name "federal reserve" is inheritly ambiguous. I am just stating my reason for my original post.
The fed is explicitly not a government agency. It is meant to be independent by design.
They predict -3.7% if yesterday was somehow the end of it, but we know it's not.
-3.7% would be a dream compared to what's actually likely.
Q1 runs from 1/1 - 3/31. Q2 will be worse if he doesn’t repeal the tariffs.