1749
inspired to find a man to take you for a ride to space
(lemmy.blahaj.zone)
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Their first orbital rocket, New Glenn, had its inaugural flight earlier this year. IIRC, it performed rather well in the "launch to orbit" aspect, but they lost the booster as it was coming back to land on a drone ship. It'll take them time to iron out the kinks, but as long as they don't scrap the project, I don't see why it couldn't become a contender in heavy lift.
So in about 30 years at their current peace?
Suppose we'll see. Not unusual to have a long gap between the early launches, lots of data to analyze for the first time. Was 8 months between the first and second launch of Ariane 6, for example.