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submitted 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) by Pro@programming.dev to c/linux@programming.dev

Archive.

You've heard the "prophecy": next year is going to be the year of the Linux desktop, right? Linux is no longer the niche hobby of bearded sysadmins and free software evangelists that it was a decade ago! Modern distributions like Ubuntu, Pop!_OS, and Linux Mint are sleek, accessible, and — dare I say it — mainstream-adjacent.

Linux is ready for professional work, including video editing, and it even manages to maintain a slight market share advantage over macOS among gamers, according to the Steam Hardware & Software Survey.

However, it's not ready to dethrone Windows. At least, not yet!

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[-] Ooops@feddit.org 25 points 2 days ago

But what will I do if marketshare of Linux does not increase properly? Oh, wait... who cares? I just use Linux for my daily work but are not a shareholder that needs constant massive growth of imaginary numbers.

[-] bitcrafter@programming.dev 15 points 2 days ago

You may be lucky enough to use Linux for your fault work, but some of are forced to use Windows because it is the industry standard. If Linux were widely enough used that I could use it at work then that would be a huge benefit to me.

[-] Ooops@feddit.org 4 points 2 days ago

That's not wrong but a seperate problem mainly caused by lock-in strategies that are not exactly the same as marketshare or industry standards and are explicitly distinct from the actual OS's capabilties.

I know enough people who have the exact same problem but with Apple as their employer forces them to use software only available there. Yet their marketshare for desktops is just a tiny fraction of what we see for Windows (~15% if we are optimsitic).

So will we pretend that Linux with a 10 or 15% marketshare (not that far off for an OS with already 5+%) is suddenly a valid alternative. Or are we honest and acknowledge that this is indeed NOT about Linux' capability to be a valid Windows replacement but purely about the fact that there isn't (an never will be...) a massive corporation spending billions in marketing and lobbying to create perceived standards simply by throwing money at the problem for even higher future gains?

[-] bitcrafter@programming.dev 3 points 1 day ago

I think that if Linux had a 50% market share then it would be considered a very valid alternative, even though that is obviously not very realistic (at this point, at least). My comment was more about why a high market share would be desirable than about how realistic it would be to get there.

Having said that: I think that if Linux were to get to a 10% or 15% valid market share, it would be a sign that a lot of things had changed that would have made it a more valid alternative in the process.

[-] nous@programming.dev 1 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

You don't need anywhere near 50% market share to be a valid alternative. If anything market share has nothing to do with it being a valid alternative except that it more likely to be the case with higher numbers. Past 50% it is really no longer even the alternative at all - it would be the main choice.

[-] bitcrafter@programming.dev 1 points 1 day ago

Agreed; I was only arguing against the proposition that increased market share would not eventually make a difference.

[-] Sunshine@lemmy.ca 2 points 2 days ago

Also makes you feel good when Linux opponents look goofier over time.

this post was submitted on 09 Jun 2025
41 points (82.5% liked)

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