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The future of back-end development
(lemm.ee)
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I think that .NET will be used more and more instead of Java, because C# is similar to it, but better¹. And there is also F# which is great too². Rust and JS³ might also get some more usage in backend.
¹The only thing missing is union type.
²And has union type :D.
³And that's unfortunate because I don't like JS.
It has nothing to do with "being better", it is mostly about a corrupt ecosystem and developers not even realizing what happening.
You're saying this as it is a bad thing when it is not though; better defined APIs and ecosystems that lift cognitive load from you is always a good thing, there is no way to spin that as a negative.
I think dotnet offers an incredibly good ecosystem for development, and I say this as someone that wants to jump ship and change the stack. What pains me the most about the stack is nothing technical. It's not even the past predatory moves of microsoft, but the developer culture that surrounds it. Most dotnet devs I've worked with and talked to seem to be people that simply use visual studio as a window to the rest of the world. They tend to have very poor knowledge about almost everything with barely any fundamentals.
Not sure I follow your point about open source; I think everything we use at work is open source already. Everything is on github and there are quite a lot of discussions in how to steer the language and ecosystem being made in the wide open. It reminds me of the openjdk and python ecosystems. Third party libraries are all open source and have been since almost forever. There is still some closed source culture but not much.
I'm just saying that Microsoft created a self perpetuating (negative?) feedback loop when it comes to software development that essentially takes all the "hard parts" of programming and replaces them with services so anyone with little experience can deliver useful software products. That in turns allows for consulting companies to hire more cheap labor and reinforces the need to by into MS ecosystem that will be developed (improved?) even further in this direction...