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Some good news for mortgage holders
(www.gov.uk)
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this post was submitted on 02 Jul 2023
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I disagree quite strongly.
Economies limping along at ~1% GDP growth per year and little or no GDP per capita growth can't handle larger base rates for long. It's a self-correcting cycle - if base rates remain elevated for too long discretionary spending will collapse and many, many businesses/loans/credit with it.
Rishi promised to half inflation not because he's a financial genius with a secret trick, but because he knows two things: 1) what I said above, 2) inflation is often given as a YoY measure, so by December 2023 we're measuring inflation above the 10% inflation of December last year, and the country can't afford 10% inflation per year for long either.