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AI Coding Is Massively Overhyped, Report Finds
(futurism.com)
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It seems like a good way to actually determine productivity would be to make it competitive.
Have marathon and long-term coding competitions between 100% human coding, AI assisted, and 100% AI. Rate them on total time worked, mistakes, coverage, maintainability, extensibility, etc. and test the programmers for knowledge of their own code.