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this post was submitted on 18 Dec 2025
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What happens to Taiwan when China is competitive on chips?
I could see them deciding to invade, Taiwan destroys their fabs, and then China gets a monopoly but also sanctions.
The west ultimately ends up unable to build chips and China has a global monopoly.
China's not going to invade anything, popular support for peaceful reunification is higher than ever and the US is giving Taiwan and the rest of the world new reasons to distance themselves from us all the time. All China has to do is sit back and watch as we voluntarily shit the bed, they'll get Taiwan and probably more with no sanctions or bloodshed.
What are you talking about?
checks instance name
Yeah that tracks. No, support for Taiwanese unification with China is not gaining support. Look at the posturing China is doing with its military. Look at the steps Japan is starting to take to prepare for this possibility.
Not all . ml people are crazy cases. Its not guilty by association. I joined ML early in its life with the Reddit exodus because it was the developer instance and I thought this would have more programming and tech people on this instance.
ad hominem is always the best argument you crybabies have.
I'm right, cry about it patriot
I wish you were right, I think China values long term thinkers in a way that the West does not due to the pressures of capitalism and specifically short term share holder value. But at a certain point the loss of life math that China has on a spreadsheet favors invading Taiwan.
Cool story, good luck getting it published
Have Intel and Samsung stopped making chips recently?
Taiwan being invaded would make the current component shortages look like nothing in comparison. TSMC fabricates the vast majority of high-end chips used by basically every computer and smartphone. They have a two-thirds market share while the next biggest player, Samsung, has around 10%, and Intel barely registers. If you want high-yield nanometer-scale precision manufacturing, TSMC is practically your only real choice.
My comment was more about the Chinese monopoly that would ensue if TSMC were taken out.
If China invades Taiwan then that's WW3
Why? Trump won't do anything. What other countries have protection treaties?