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this post was submitted on 20 Jun 2023
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This theory makes a lot of sense if you consider that Russia's biggest problem is that losing the war might make their country cease to exist completely. But even so, their problems are training, cultural and logistics based, no amount of biological weapons are going to fix their problems; though they probably wouldn't admit that even to themselves.
Wait what?
Yeah that's the pipe dream people are pushing now. Somehow Russia will collapse because of this war
To be fair, I think they're talking mainly about the government, and people also felt like the USSR was invincible until suddenly it was gone.
I do also wonder what will happen when Putin dies. He's made himself an all-powerful dictator, but as I understand it there isn't any clear path or method of succession laid out. If losing the war or whatever doesn't take down Russia's current government, Putin's death might fracture it and end it in a power struggle.
There is also the fact that so many people fled Russia to avoid conscription, and the dissatisfaction the populace has with the expansion of conscription, and the low morale and disillusionment of troops when they do eventually return. None of that is good for stability, especially when the entire government is built around a single person without a clear succession or replacement system.
I think Russia's current government can seem stabler than it actually is just because it's powerful, but it could be a glass cannon.
Good points all around, especially regarding Putin's successor – I think you're right, or at least I'm also under the impression that there's really no clear system in place. Might just turn into a deathmatch