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We just hit 1.5 C above per-industrial levels for the first time. (www.abc.net.au)

submitted 1 year ago by ruford1976@lemmy.world to c/world@lemmy.world

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[-] Hyperreality@kbin.social 20 points 1 year ago

You’ll start with millions of climate refugees

Millions? If only.

I've seen estimates which say at least a billion by 2050:

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/06/climate-refugees-the-world-s-forgotten-victims/)

[-] Vlyn@lemmy.zip 8 points 1 year ago

Oh, I was more thinking per area. Not all refugees will go to the same place.

It will start with millions and that might already be enough to cause collapse. When it's over a billion it's already over.

[-] Hyperreality@kbin.social 12 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

The whole Syria thing already caused us lots of issues in Europe. Arguably the civil war was caused in part by climate change exacerbating a drought. The surge in refugees helped the far right and populists across Europe and was a factor in brexit.

I can only imagine what'll happen if it gets worse. Children of Men is likely to be eerily prophetic.

[-] floofloof@lemmy.ca 5 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

I've seen estimates that say a billion dead by 2100 is the most optimistic possible outcome. Even the notoriously cautious IPCC is making the most unimaginably dire predictions:

In its report focusing on the impacts of global warming on people and the planet, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change says that every inhabited continent is already experiencing multiple climate impacts, from droughts and flooding to biodiversity loss and falling food production. Between 3.3 to 3.6 billion people live in areas “highly vulnerable to climate change,” the authors warn, with “additional severe risks” should the Earth warm beyond 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit). (From an article in Forbes magazine.)

this post was submitted on 11 Sep 2023

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