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I'm not sure same sex marriage will be much more than a fringe issue in Australia, for a long time at least. That plebiscite was a pretty strong indication of sentiment, and i think it'll only have grown stronger in favour, in the years since.

A few years back i heard a polling researcher say one of the strengths of the same sex marriage question was there's a high proprtion of family's who have a personal connection with someone who is non-binary, (is that the universal term in this context?). They thought that personal connection had a large effect on the type of response.

Connecting that, though, to the Voice question. Considering a population of ~3% and less interspersed throughout the population, and it seems that could be a weakness for the Yes side.

this post was submitted on 15 Sep 2023
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