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this post was submitted on 27 Sep 2023
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Sadly though referendums are very difficult to pass due to requiring a super majority or whatever, the majority of the majority of people in states. The polls are pretty grim, I don't think it's likely at all.
And people voting in the NT and ACT only contribute to the population majority not the state majority. Feels like we need to change our referendum rules.
The polls are not looking good. But I wonder if those polls are capturing younger people, who are harder to reach via traditional sampling methods. Also a lot of undecided and 'soft' yes / no voters still as well and these votes could determine the result. A lot of people will also tune in last minute and decide on the day.