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this post was submitted on 05 Oct 2023
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mostly because their numbers are scant.
Agree with your premise, but don't forget to add DPICM to that list, it's helping sustain overall artillery fires at high tempo. Russia's trying to buy shells from North Korea, ugh...
I also have doubts at this point that many RU tube artillery systems are worth shit - the volumes they've tried to sustain throughout the conflict don't come at a cost of just rounds fired, but barrels used up. Unless those wiley bears have figured out a way to quickly rehabilitate/recycle old tubes into new, we're going to see RU tube arty rapidly decrease in effectiveness in both accuracy and range.
People have been projecting that since the start of the war given the rate at which Russia is burning through their artillery shell stockpiles. So far, we've seen nothing, which indicates that either Russia is able to operate their artillery for longer or able to repair it more quickly. For what it's worth, old Soviet doctrine probably prioritized easy maintenance over how long it lasted.