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this post was submitted on 08 Jul 2023
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sure. but i also can't help but feel like when history looks back on the fediverse it's more likely to be in the geocities and anglefire category than some seismic shift in social media.
I hope for the later, but realistically feel it will be the former.
Eh, idk about that. Matrix has been around for a few years now, and I don't think it's going anywhere. Now, is it likely to ever be as big as Twitter/Facebook/reddit? Probably not. But, I'm not sure that was ever really the goal either.
It doesn't have to be a seismic shift. Geocities and Angelfire (still around. BTW) were corporate, they needed to make money, and when the free web hosting somehow failed to make money, the corporate owners shut them down.
The Fediverse is decentralized. It doesn't have to get huge, or make a lot of money. It can carry on for as long as it has enough users to carry on. Heck, the biggest BBS that I used back in the day had 23 phone lines. Several hundred regular users, but only 23 could connect at a time. It even survived a few years into the Internet era.
That is to say that Lemmings don't have to 'win' some sort of imaginary competition by taking all of the users from the other site. People used and enjoyed those bygone systems while they lasted, and we can do the same.