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Bill Gates feels Generative AI has plateaued, says GPT-5 will not be any better
(indianexpress.com)
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this post was submitted on 02 Dec 2023
158 points (85.3% liked)
Technology
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And the Wright Brothers said heavier than air flight would only ever be an amusement for the rich, and never commercially viable.
Even taking Gates' qualifications at face value doesn't mean he's actually right.
Source on that quote from the Wright brothers? Because they never said that as far as I'm aware.
They didn’t, AFAIK. It was a NYT article that quoted someone who made a similar prediction:
You didn't read the Wright brothers or this article did you? Gates isn't at all damning AI tech. All he said is that gpt 5 is unlikely to be very different from 4. He's probably correct. A next best word algorithm can only go so far. Thats only a part of how language and cognition works. Until some sort of adjunct algorithm gets tagged on I don't think we will see big leaps either.
They are already bolting on multi modality, autonomous agent behavior and so on. Most uses are no longer just token prediction, but a whole soup of other models and data injection. That sort of combination of things will get us to the next level )and already has in many ways).
And 640k ought to be enough for anybody.
He just has money, which gives him and too many others the idea that he has expertise.
He has money because he was a damn fine computer programmer, had some great ideas, and got pretty good at selling and monopolizing his product. He doesn't "just have money". He was skilled and intelligent. He may or may not be wrong about gpt, but he has a hell of a lot more knowledge about the subject and insight into gpt's inner workings than probably anyone else on Lemmy.
Has he written a line of code in the past 30 years?
And a voice that should be heard