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Refugee camp reportedly hit as Israel bombards Gaza | Reuters Video
(www.reuters.com)
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this post was submitted on 04 Dec 2023
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Ultimately, it's should the numbers given by the GHM be trusted. The first article you provided give two different views.
The against side, as represented by the Reuter's beareu chief, rightfully points out that they have a self interest in inflating their numbers.
The other side, as represented by the Israel and Palestine director at Human Rights Watch, notes that their numbers have been trustworthy in the past and verified by their organization. Further, they provide detailed lists of the killed to support their numbers. Finally, their numbers have been used by others like the US to understand previous conflicts.
We should, as skeptical people, doubt them. But if people involved in the situation on the ground level are vouching for them, we shouldn't fully discount them either. And the sad reality is, we have no alternative. No other organization is providing numbers. No other organization is on the ground. The lives lost are real and it's sad.
Edit: The Week article also adds nuance to the Hamas control angle. And it's not like the Week is some leftist rag.
I'm not sure if you're arguing in good faith or not, but if you're like me, this is a lot of new information. Maybe humble your responses.
Yes, as you've mentioned their statistical information about the number of deaths is the only available information, and is relied upon by International organizations in the absence of any other source. That doesn't mean that they should be considered trustworthy with reporting attacks in progress, as is the case here. The most obvious example is the reporting of deaths around a hospital that they claimed was bombed by Israel, which turned out to be a rocket from inside Gaza, most likely PIJ.
There are reporters on the ground and international intelligence agencies and satellite photography. Unlike the tragic casualty statistics, which are only reported by Hamas and their Health Ministry, we have other and more reliable sources for developing news.
I'm not saying they are trustworthy because there is no other source. I'm saying something that is quite opposite and nuanced to that.
The on the ground reporters lack organization that can provide comprehensive evidence and, as far as I'm aware, have provided direct evidence to counter their claims. This includes the CNN article that counters the Al-Shifa hospital bombing because their evidence is analysis of satellite photos. I don't consider satellite photos alone to be as strong front line evidence. It supplement and clarify it, but not sufficient by itself. And as far as I've seen, I don't know of any official report to support the CNN analysis.
As for intelligency agencies on the ground, do you have anything that supports this claim? And what is their bias?
The only Hamas reports the world should rely on are total figures killed, since they alone have access to the hospital and morgue records that reporting agencies would need. Unfortunately, they don't indicate how many of those killed were combatants, or how many Palestinians have been killed by Hamas or PIJ. Reuters reports that there are 40,000 Hamas militants. Israel estimates fewer, and that about 4,000 have been killed in the fighting so far.
What CNN article are you talking about? Please link.
Hamas established the Gaza Health Ministry. I'm not really sure what you mean by the statement that they have been around before Hamas. I don't know how many staff may predate the 2007 Hamas takeover of Gaza, but I'd be interested in learning if you have information about it. Here are articles from French, Canadian, US intelligence agencies independently verifying that Hamas (Gaza Health Ministry) lied about the al-Ahli hospital bombing.
They all concluded it was a misfired rocket from Gaza.
You have shifted your argument. Before you said that the Gaza Health Ministry is not a reliable source. Now you say they are for the total figures killed. I never really had much more than that. Their methodology only supports that much of a conclusion. Still.... that's over 13,000 dead. We aren't even talking about casualties, just the dead.
This is your post in which you linked to this CNN article. As for the other articles you provided, none were from intelligence agencies. They were all published by new outlets (surprisingly you sourced one from Al Jazeera) within seven days of the attack and none mention their data and methods for drawing this conclusion. Just that they are confident. Why is this enough for you?
I want to be clear here. I'm not saying that a rocket fired from Gaza by Palestinian militants didn't hit the hospital. I'm saying that I need better evidence.
I'm also saying that the report from the Gaza Health Ministry at that time could very well be wrong. But not because of any agenda on their part but because their statement was made too close to the date of the incident without sufficient evidence to support their conclusion.
Hamas may have established the Gaza Health Ministry, but the personnel and systems were already in place when they worked for the Palestinian Ministry of Health. I got that from The Week's article where they said "and many of the Gaza Health Ministry's civil servants predate Gaza’s Hamas takeover."
Your link doesn't provide the Israelis estimate for Hamas fighters. Nor does it give the methodology for their determination if someone is Hamas fighter. If they are using the standard developed during the American invasion of Afghanistan, then it's every male of a fighting age.
Re your edit:
Again, the article post is not about number of casualties. It is about a reported attack in progress. Hamas-run Gaza Health Ministry is not a reliable source for this information.
Edit: Also please check the dates for the articles that I've linked. They are not all up to date, but they all make clear from various sources that the Gaza Health Ministry is a part of Hamas.
No reporting of attacks in progress should be "reliable". It's not a binary. It's a body of evidence that grows over time and points towards a conclusion whose accuracy is determined through methodology. Good methods creates good data which creates accurate conclusions. The more agencies collecting and sharing data through high quality methods, result in a clearer picture.