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this post was submitted on 17 Dec 2023
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polls said the same about Hillary. Biden will win again
no he won't, not if American voters keep apathetically stumbling towards fascism like they have been the last few years. The only way this is going to work is if everybody Taylor Swift's the fuck out of this election, no more pussy footing around
Trump has actually never won the popular vote. Unfortunately, majorities don't really matter in the American election system.
It is possible to out-vote the inherent inequities of the electoral college system and the decades of gerrymandering, but it will take a concerted effort to get out the vote from the demographicswho have been targeted by those voter supression efforts, especially in places like Florida and Texas.
Uhh what?? Trump got elected once. That is it. Since then Dems have basically come out on top every election since likely because of Trump. Polling has always proven to be dog shit.
Trump is a boogeyman Dems use to encourage people to vote their way. We aren't heading to fascism because of him
He almost won in 2020. The GOP has been hard at work across the country with gerrymandering and other election fuckery for the last few years. And while polling may not be gospel, it's a rough indicator. I wouldn't act so confident that he's going to lose. I'm optimistic he will, but I wouldn't say it's an absolute certainty.
And if you don't believe a large percentage of Americans are clamoring for authoritarianism, then you obviously haven't been paying attention.
How do you figure he almost won? He lost damn near every key swing state. That election was not close.
https://www.cfr.org/blog/2020-election-numbers
Yes, Biden won by a landslide overall. But as the quoted paragraph above points out, it was strategically very close to a Trump victory.
Well 2016 wasnt close either, so saying it was closer than 2016 isn't saying much. The paragraph basically says "if he had won the key parts of the election he would have won". Well....ya...
He was dominated in the key parts of the election just like Hilary was. I agree with you he is absolutely a threat in the upcoming election, but he did not almost win 2020.
It literally said he won by almost 43k votes across states. That's pretty damn close.
Stop spreading disinformation.
what election cycle did dems face hard losses since?
I wasn't talking about that; I was talking about this blatant fucking lie:
you think we are going to fascism because of trump?
Who the fuck else do you think is responsible for it?!
Bro Kissinger just died. Trump has barely had his hand on the ball in this one. He's a fuckin towel boy at best who just sits at the right crossroads of american real estate nepo baby racist he's a tool. You know it and so does everyone else this shit goes beyond, above and around him. It is a slew of fuckers but he's not the guy
Just like every time before them, the polls accurately predicted the popular vote which is all they ever claimed to do. Read a book. And don't get complacent.
Tbf, I saw plenty polls that said Hillary was PROBABLY going to win. But any time something is PROBABLY going to happen there's a chance it might not.
70-80% chance might seem like a sure thing. But these are the same people who complain when 20% chance of rain turns into... rain. "But the weatherman said it wouldn't rain."
To drive home the point: play more xcom.
Was about to say the same thing.
Except XCOM actually cheats in your favor with its RNG.