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this post was submitted on 01 Jan 2024
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politics
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Democrats still don't know who they will be running against - since the polling needed to determine that are not "likely Iowa caucus goers" but "likely Trump jurors". We don't want to be like the Republicans in 2008 who were completely prepared to take on and tear down a Hilary Clinton nominee, only to find themselves fighting Obama.
If the Republican nominee is anyone but Trump, we'll see Trump run as an independent and split the vote.
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I would hate to see how that voter turnout would affect all the downballot elections.
Him running from jail while competing against a candidate that isn't popular with the MAGA nuts, would be the ideal outcome.
Call me a pessimist, not not likely. Trump's narcissism is only dwarfed by his laziness. If he doesn't win the nomination, he may still run to try to stay out of jail. But he will absolutely not run if he's going to be pardoned and protected by a fascist leader of his choosing, and can relax into a kingmaker role with all of the prestige and none of the responsibilities.