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this post was submitted on 19 Jan 2024
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Eh, that's a bit of a stretch. Poland is one of the stronger militaries in Eastern Europe. If somehow Russia got out of their war in Ukraine with anything resembling a semi-intact military, they'd probably be trying to roll into either Georgia or Moldova next. I mean, more than they already are in those countries. I think if they were really going to test NATO's mutual defense treaty (like if Trump was elected, who has repeatedly refused to affirm he would support article 5), they'd probably start with attacking a Baltic state after some heavy interference and hybrid warfare first, maybe trying to carve a land bridge to kaliningrad or "protecting russian speaking peoples" or something as an excuse.
Some of talking heads already said it about them but also about Kazakhstan and Finland. These news are for internal consumption, to look big and still kicking for the average TV consumer.
Some NATO countries recently did a first in many years coordinated strike at Ansar Allah, Yemeni rebels, to show their might for free. I think it can be an answer to that.