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this post was submitted on 20 Jul 2023
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politics
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There literally will not be a serious challenger in the Dem primary, if one is even held (which I doubt).
Historically, that is the fastest way to lose an election as an incumbent. Will not happen
They're not going to cancel the primary.
I doubt any contender will remain into an actual vote. There's no point, unless they're just grifting for the money, in which case it ends after the first primary round (same difference) when they have no path to victory.
There will certainly be no debates or real campaigning. Both "challengers" are well-known grifters.
That statement posits an entirely different scenario, where the Democratic primary is held as normal, with a prediction about its process and outcome (a prediction I mostly agree with).
I stand by my earlier statement. There will be a Democratic primary vote in every state. There will be challengers on those primary ballots, even if they are minor players or only locally known. The optics of not having one, even if the results of the national Democratic primary are obvious, would be ridiculously bad, and the Republicans and their candidate would latch on to that and call it "fascism."
I genuinely don't think the Dem Primary will last past Super Tuesday, at the absolute most.
If you mean that the candidate will be decided by the math by that time, I think I would agree. If you're saying they'll just not have primary votes in the remaining states, I disagree.