I really wish MBA programs and journalism schools would start teaching that technology doesn’t progress linearly (much less exponentially) forever. “Look what it can do today! Imagine in 5 years!” Is there still low-hanging fruit to pick? Because if not, it might be as good as it’s gonna be for awhile.

There’s obviously exceptions where things have gotten steadily better for a very long time. But often, it’s a punctuated equilibrium situation around major scientific advancements. And way more often, business realities pause advancement. (Like maybe OpenAI’s next giant leap forward will have to wait on chip suppliers to expand capacity.)