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Off To A Great Start in 2024
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this post was submitted on 02 Mar 2024
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So, when can we safely declare 1.5C dead? Because, um, well, it's not looking great.
Once El Niño is done. This year is likely anomalous compared to average, but is likely the new normal for El Niño years. I’d say wait until the next ‘normal’ year ( not El Niño nor La Niña) to declare anything. That being said, you could claim that it is certainly going to die with low risk of being wrong.