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this post was submitted on 04 Apr 2024
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When people speculate on when the Year of the Linux Desktop will finally happen, I always believed that Linux adoption will not make it past 10% through its superior technical merits alone. To go over 10%, state actors will have to be involved. China is paving the way for the Year of the Linux Desktop to finally happen. But this is the first step. The next step would be to crack down on Windows and Mac OS (the rationale being that they're just spyware for the NSA) so that the only desktop OS allowed in China is a Linux distro. The step after that would be for major tech enterprises like Adobe and Microsoft to finally develop and release Linux versions of enterprise software (Acrobat, Photoshop, Office, Teams, and so on), the rationale being that since the vast majority of Chinese PC run Linux given Windows/Mac OS crackdown, by not releasing Linux version of their enterprise software, they're just leaving money on the table. With the number boost from Chinese PCs and Linux versions of enterprise software available, the floodgates will truly open.