I think there'll be some users but honestly? I think you'll have three general kinds of users. Those that just bite the bullet and upgrade to 11, those that don't care and will continue to use Win10 for more years to come, and the minority that care enough to try this "Linux thing" out.

Yes, I think a minority group of IT enthousiasts will be pushed towards Linux. But for a lot of average users, it is way too much of a hassle, unless the ONLY thing they do is browse the web.

In my 4 weeks with Mint, I encountered: -Complete system freezes from plugging in USB to USB hubs. -Bluetooth not working (fix was updating to a newer Kernel... ok... why is that kernel not standard when bluetooth is broken on the older kernels?) -Random inconsistant UI scaling issues when working with two monitors (and even on the same monitor) -permission issues when instaling flatpacks from the software manager (let's disable USB permission for arduino... yeah... that's silly)

I figure all the shit out because I want it to work. But it's not the be-all end-all that people here on Lemmy make it out to be.

Switching an OS is always difficult. In 2006 I switched to Mac for about 6 years. The first few months were pain and agony. After that, it was great. Same with many Windows upgrades. And the same will be true for switching to Linux.

2025 is going be the year of cheap hardware. A lot of people will just buy new computers/laptop's.

I'm helping some people already with setting up Linux. But most average users will not set up Linux. It's just to scary.