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this post was submitted on 02 Aug 2023
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Seriously. People like to project forward based on how quickly this technological breakthrough came on the scene, but they don't realize that, barring a few tweaks and improvements here and there, this is it for LLMs. It's the limit of the technology.
It's not to say AI can't improve further, and I'm sure that when it does, it will skillfully integrate LLMs. And I also think artists are right to worry about the impact of AI on their fields. But I think it's a total misunderstanding of the technology to think the current technology will soon become flawless. I'm willing to bet we're currently seeing it at 95% of its ultimate capacity, and that we don't need to worry about AI writing a Hollywood blockbuster any time soon.
In other words, the next step of evolution in the field of AI will require a revolution, not further improvements to existing systems.
For free? On the internet?
After a year or two of going live?
It depends on what you'd call a revolution. Multiple instances working together, orchestrating tasks with several other instances to evaluate progress and provide feedback on possible hallucinations, connected to services such as Wolfram Alpha for accuracy.
I think the whole orchestration network of instances could functionally surpass us soon in a lot of things if they work together.
But I'd call that evolution. Revolution would indeed be a different technique that we can probably not imagine right now.