Democrats lose ground in 6 states with election forecaster’s postdebate shift. (thehill.com)

submitted 3 months ago by TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world to c/politics@lemmy.world

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Key quote:

Biden’s defiance against calls for him to leave the presidential campaign after last month’s debate have only worsened his chances in November, Cook Editor-in-Chief Amy Walter wrote.

“Biden was losing pre-debate. Now, he’s losing by a bit more,” she said, adding that the possibility Biden leaves the race at this point is “remote.”

Citing postdebate polling, Cook announced it will move Minnesota, New Hampshire and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District from “Likely Democratic” to “Lean Democratic.” The group also moved Nevada, Arizona and Georgia from “Tossup” to “Lean Republican.”

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[-] soratoyuki@lemmy.world 6 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

538 gave Trump about a 30% chance of winning in 2016, while a lot of other poll aggregators were giving him single digit chances.

Biden is unpopular and losing. He was unpopular and losing before the debate and he's still unpopular and losing. He barely beat an impeached Trump that oversaw almost a million Covid deaths and a wrecked economy in 2020, and that was when he could still string two coherent sentences together.

Why are so many liberals determined to bury their heads in the sand about this? The Democratic Party is casually coasting towards catastrophe.

[-] ShittyBeatlesFCPres@lemmy.world 2 points 3 months ago

Believe me, no one is burying their heads in the sand. The NY Times just spent like two weeks covering nothing but Biden’s age. I had to scroll down like 1500px to find the fucking French election results and I’m not even sure they bothered to send someone to cover the hurricane that wrecked multiple countries and hit one of the most populous regions of the country.

[-] Zaktor@sopuli.xyz 3 points 3 months ago

If you believe this is the most important election in our lifetimes and believe the polls and analysis that put Biden in a bad and worsening position, it's kind of the most important story in the country, if not the world. There's a reason it's like a 50% of all political discussions here.

[-] ShittyBeatlesFCPres@lemmy.world -1 points 3 months ago

It’s an important story! But The NY Times has beclowned itself by trying to create a narrative instead of just covering it. There were well over 200 articles and 99% were gossip or fanfiction masquerading as news stories. That’s an editorial decision, not a news-based one. They even made a whole graphic counting which Democrats have defected. (It was 6 house members and 0 Senators and governors.)

It kind of reminded me of when they kept writing articles saying the president of MIT still hasn’t resigned even though that was an utterly unimportant story. Just a bunch of articles about nothing happening.

this post was submitted on 09 Jul 2024

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