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this post was submitted on 13 Sep 2024
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I’m not declaring victory- I’m saying Biden had almost zero chance of beating trump.
If he had lost like four of any of ten states, he’d have lost I. 2020. He won the EC by a razor’s edge.
And that was with all the shit of his presidency fresh. He’s had four years to retcon things, to shore up his base. And Biden had 4 years to fuck around on messaging.
He was and is taking a beating there- and some of it is actually legitimate (Gaza for example.)
Harris… it’s going to be a tough fight, but it’s her campaign to lose. Which is a night-and-day difference.