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this post was submitted on 27 Sep 2024
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Cabinet members are looking before the election though. They are out of a job if trump wins. They are out of a job if Harris wins + the Senate. They may not be out of a job if Harris wins and the Senate goes Republican. That's not good odds to stick around for.
There is quite a bit of time between election and inauguration. Election is early November, inauguration is in early January
Even if dems win the senate it doesn't mean they'll necessarily replace 100% of everyone either. Just opens the options to replace some people. I'm sure the cabinet members would be informed of how likely they are to keep their job
They also aren't getting regular jobs, there can be narrow windows to join or take months to find something. If you know in 6 months it's likely you won't have a job it's time to start hunting for a new one. It's likely at least one cabinet member leaves before the election.