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this post was submitted on 25 Sep 2024
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I was thinking about these numbers actually.
3698 posts in 48 days comes to roughly 77.04 posts per day.
However, I can't remember where I read this, but apparently there are 24 communities/magazines being managed or at least posted to.
It makes sense that the same link would get posted to all 24, and user scripts already exist for lemmy ( https://lemmy.world/post/2638670 ) and kbin ( https://greasyfork.org/en/scripts/by-site/kbin.social ) so it's not hard to imagine a "reposting" user script for lemmy. Would be fairly easy for someone slightly technical to come up with.
Assuming every original post follows with the userscript assisted simultaneous reposting, with the net result of the same post in 24 magazines at once, we should adjust the math as follows:
77.04/24 is approximately 3.21 posts per day.
Of course, this isn't completely accurate. First it's an average, so some days may have double the posts (say 6 per day) while a day or two might even be skipped altogether.
More importantly, it probably doesn't make sense to post every single link into every single magazine every single time, so there's probably a fast & quick config option to adjust the number (i.e. maybe a source isn't considered high enough quality and is left off of /m/politics ). So the true number of posting is likely a bit higher, but even if half are dropped off every time, we're still only up to 7 posts a day (and that's rounding up).
While averaging 7 posts a day can be quite a bit by some measures, it's certainly within the reach of a single, enthusiastic individual.
For every post on the fediverse, one needs to use critical thinking. But also remember the phrase about lies, damn lies, and statistics...
So valid counterpoints to the above would include showing that reposts or duplicate posts in different communities are rare and that almost every post is actually unique, showing that we're not seeing 12 or 24 simultaneous posts but that each post is trickling in roughly every 20 minutes at every hour of a full 24 hour period (i.e. the person never sleeps for weeks on end), and so on.
I haven't dug that deeply into it, but right now I have yet to see enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis (of a single enthusiastic individual with something like userscript assisted reposting).