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this post was submitted on 19 Oct 2024
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It was also a big surprise when Intel just gave up. The industry was getting settled in for a David v Goliath battle, and then Goliath said this David kid was right.
Yes, I absolutely thought Intel would make their own, and AMD would lose the fight.
But maybe Intel couldn't do that, because AMD had patented it already, and whatever Intel did, it could be called a copy of that.
Anyways it's great to see AMD finally is doing well and finally is profitable. I just never expected Intel to fail as badly as they are? So unless they fight their way to profitability again, we may be in the same boat again as we were when Intel was solo on X86?
But then again, maybe x86 is becoming obsolete, as Arm is getting ever more competitive.
Right, I think the future isn't Intel v AMD, it's AMD v ARM v RISC-V. Might be hard to break into the desktop and laptop space, but Linux servers don't have the same backwards compatibility issues with x86. That's a huge market.
Intel as a company isn't going anywhere any time soon; they're just too big, with too many resources, not to do at least OK.
They have serious challenges in their approach and performance to engineering, but short of merging with someone else they'll find their niche. For as long as x86-derived architectures remain current (i.e. if AMD is still chugging along with them) they'll continue to put out their own chips, and occasionally they'll manage to get an edge.
The real question would be what happens if x86 finally ceases to be viable. In theory there's nothing stopping Intel (or AMD) pivoting to ARM or RISC-V (or fucking POWER for that matter) if that's where the market goes. Losing the patent/licensing edge would sting, though.