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this post was submitted on 30 Oct 2024
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It's a pretty significant voting block in the state. Biden won Michigan in 2020 thanks in large part to the Arab-Americans.
Source.
Harris doesn't have that much of a lead over Trump in the state, it's well within the margin of error. And losing Michigan means there's a good chance she loses the election. The only Arab-Americans who are actually voting for her are doing so begrudgingly because they hate Trump even more. But that's not exactly a winning strategy. Hillary Clinton lost Michigan, and the election, in 2016 due to this mindset.
It does not. I'm not even going to run down the numbers again because it's a stupid amount of effort.
Specifically, the total Arab Population of Michigan is about 2%, and less than half are able to vote (age or otherwise). Assuming ALL of them are going along with a virtue signaling plan only spouted by a few (they aren't), you can read all the interviews and reports of people in the "Uncommitted" group saying they are voting for Harris.
So 100k people trying to influence the vote in a state Biden won by 150k in 2020, and most of those people are still voting Harris, AND they e already shattered early voting records.
Don't see it happening. The people who keep bringing up 2016 are living in the past. That was a low turnout election 8 years ago. None of the polling or early voting numbers say this is anything like election.
The 100K number is from the Democratic primaries. The situation in the middle-east has deteriorated much more since then. I wouldn't be surprised if that 100K number grew.
That being said, you may be right in that Harris will win and I hope you are. But like I said in my comment above, it's a toss-up on who will win the state of Michigan at this point. And whoever wins Michigan has a really good chance of winning the election. It really should not have been so close for this state, given how important it is.