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Harris vows at Michigan rally to ‘do everything in my power to end the war in Gaza’
(www.theguardian.com)
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this post was submitted on 04 Nov 2024
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I think it's fair to say we all want the death and suffering to end. I'm curious, however, about the overarching goals of those advocating for Stein and such. Some people have suggested that Russia and China stand to benefit the most from America cutting off support to Israel. Russia has certainly vied for influence in the region and generally picks up whatever America leaves behind for pennies on the Ruble.
To summarize my question: if the US cut off support to Israel with the intent of ending genocide, wouldn't Israel simply partner with Russia or China instead?
I don't see how this helps Gaza, but it seems like to make the situation worse.
Why would either of those countries pick up such a pointless financial burden, though? The US has spent $17.9 billion in military aid just since October 2023. I'm not sure Russia could afford to sustain that sort of spending long-term, and even if they could, what do they get from it? They get another piece of baggage to further isolate them on the international stage, while also conveniently pissing off local Muslim populations they've been cultivating influence with, and potentially stirring things up back home with Muslim separatist groups that have been known to pop off the odd attack or civil war from time to time.
Likewise, China can get all the natural resources Israel could offer them on better terms and at lower cost elsewhere, without any of the drawbacks that backing Israel in the absence of the US would bring them. China already has a presence in the region in relationships with Gulf states, they don't need Israel. What, Israel is going to win them over with some cheaper citrus, or something?
People keep saying, "But what if Russia or China backed Israel instead?" without any reason for either to do so.
Appreciate the insight!
It's a chance worth taking. Worst case scenario is that USA opposes a genocide instead of contributing. Best case is that the genocide ends.
What's with the fictional quote?
Ignoring that, I think the best and worst case scenarios are too optimistic.
Worst case: Israel continues war with support from Russia and/or China. US loses influence and ally. Atrocities increase. Violence spreads.
In that case the US can just arm the resistance groups. Nothing bad has ever happened by doing that.
Right?! I think that's probably a real risk