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this post was submitted on 13 Aug 2023
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It's an essential part of the idea of the technological singularity. An AI iterates itself and the systems it runs on, becoming more efficient, powerful, and effective at a rate that makes all of human progress up to that point look like nothing.
While I'm inclined to believe the singularity is achievable, it's important to remember that there's no evidence today that it will ever be reached.
Our hope for it, and the good than can come with it, can't pull it into the realm of things we will see in our lifetimes. It could emerge soon, but it's at least as likely to stay science fiction for another millennia.
Yeah, when chat gpt 4 first came out, I thought we might be close. But as it's capabilities and limitations became more clear, it doesn't look like we're close at all. I mean, it's hard to say for sure since an LLM will just make up a part of an AI and maybe the other pieces are farther along but just not getting as much attention because there's value in not making those things public.
But as someone who works in one of the fields that would be involved in the technological singularity, no one really knows good ways to apply AI to the work we do and the best initiatives I've seen come out of the corporate drive to leverage AI aren't actually AI, but just smarter automation tools.