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Wait til all these projects crash, burn, and get liquidated. Gonna be an amazing secondary market for brand new, unused bulk hardware.
But you won't be able to afford it because the market crash means you lose your job.
I think people don't realise that if AI fails, it's pretty much guaranteed to collapse the US economy.
Do it, do it, do it, do it!
Meh, not really a full collapse. Just like 75% of it and a huuuuge recession. Or maybe a "Tiny Depression"? Basically, 10 years to recover. Which is where we're going anyway, with out without AI.
Don't you worry it's gonna have a global impact againjudt like it did in 08. Imagine losing your job in Italy for instance cause some bankers got ultra rich in the US. What a dumb fucking world.
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And if AI doesn’t fail, people will be unemployed.
God, I hope so..
Not really. They're not making consumer grade stuff, they're making hardware for data centers so unless you're planning on doing a DIY data center you're not buying the hardware. Hard drives are likely an exception.
You're more likely to see cheap VPS services than cheap secondhand hardware.
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Free market totally regulating itself like we’ve always been told.
"Our merchants and masters complain much of the bad effects of high wages in raising the price and lessening the sale of goods. They say nothing concerning the bad effects of high profits. They are silent with regard to the pernicious effects of their own gains. They complain only of those of other people.”
- Adam Smith, An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations
How can you doubt the Invisible Hand? Have you not seen how much it jerks?
I declare all resources mine purchased with a fancy loan. Now that all resources are mine, they are all worth 100,000 times more then before. Dont worry, if you cant afford to pay 100,000x more you can rent some if my stuff! Also now that I own everything, I'm To Big To Fail and will need a bailout when I cant pay my fancy loan.
This is the healthiest, most efficient economy possible. To desire an alternative way to live our lives is now added to the DSM and will trigger involuntary institutionalization in a re-education camp.
Aliens visit earth and you want to know why? To study our highly advanced economic system of course!
What about SSDs?
You're gonna need to sit down for me to tell you about NAND prices
Those prices have already been driven up. For 4 TB NVMe:
https://pcpartpicker.com/trends/price/internal-hard-drive/
Burn it all down.
We don't need no water let the mother fucker burn.
🎈📌 when
The end model will be the 70s Arthur Clarke prediction. Just a dumb terminal with no processing capabilities at home, hooked to a mainframe (privately owned of course) which you'll have to use your all your daily needs.
These days with video compression and the like, even a terminal needs a minimum of processing power, enough to run basic things and a browser, especially if you want to make it lag free.
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Was looking at NVMEs, only $1500 for a small no name Gen 3 with 3gbps max transfer rate.
Some newer and faster name brand drives were listed as $400-500, but they were also out of stock, so those prices probably weren't accurate.
I really hope this is a temporary supply bottleneck. I understand the constraints of producing chips and highly specialized hardware but AI demand is only going to go up from here.
I'm optimistic a game changer gets whipped out of thin air
It's not really going up....
I got bored with it last year, and have turned off everything but search summaries, as they often just put the answer right up front, no click throughs. Also I use a voice aid to set timers, reminders, and alarms....
And this seems to be a common story lately.
I can't see AI really exploding beyond basic uses like that. Some people are still inovating and playing with AI, but it'll settle down.
Theyyyyyyy are moving us towards clouuuuud computiiiiing...!
Getting a half dozen 24tb nas drives this morning was painful. They are twice the cost of last fall and most vendors, even big ones, only had one or two available. This is insanity.
3 months ago, watching ram prices skyrocketing, anticipating this exact scenario would happen, i bought 5 10tb drives.
best decision i've made in a while.
I ordered a couple of NAS drives during the holiday specials thinking the same thing. Received a confirmation email saying they would ship in a few days. 4 weeks passed without a single peep from WD. Started to get nervous my order would be cancelled. Then first week of January I got an email saying they were backordered but should be fulfilled "soon". Didn't get my drives till end of January but well worth the wait.
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I'm afraid that a lot of the infrastructure will be heavily catered towards DoD computing resources. This means after the components hit their lifecycle, they aren't released to the used markets on ebay, instead they are shredded and rendered electronic waste.
All of those GPUs will be irrelevent in 24 months, and almost all of them are useless to consumers.
Its by design, its intentional.
They want you hooked to their cloud teat.
A lot of scientists, tinkerers, 3D renderers and such would love cheap A100s and up.
On the contrary, I don't think they will get cheaper. Somehow they'll get bought back and trashed (like Nvidia has done in the past), hoarded, tasked with busywork, something that that.
They wont let them leave because it'd be falling into "the competitions" hands.
They'll shred every single last bit of silicon.
I guess my combined 12TB across five drives ranging in age from 13 to six years old will have to suffice. The only reason I'd need to buy a new drive is if a couple of my current drives die. Which does happen on occasion, of course.
Also, fuck AI, and the assholes who made it, and everyone who currently, personally profits off it. This bubble popping will be the catalyst to take down the entire world economy. MMW.
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I'm so fucking over this bullshit.
Can't wait for the bubble to pop and the used SAS HDD market to overflow with cheap hardware. Same with RAM.
Same with RAM.
Unfortunately, the RAM shortage is caused by a RAM component being diverted to specialized packages that can't easily be converted into normal RAM. So even a bubble bursting won't bring RAM onto the market.
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AMD platforms with ecc support could be insanely valuable in the future.
Please pop, PLEASE POP
Damn it, I now see that my local IT store have had to postpone delivery of Seagate drives as well, I have four 8TB Seagate NAS drives in my new NAS I am building, I just need two more to complete the build.
So looks like I am going Toshiba for the last two drives + one cold spare.
It's good to get a variety of manufacturers + manufacture dates in your build anyways, to avoid the risk of getting bad manufacturer batches or issues with particular models that haven't been discovered yet. As long as the specs are all similar across the board of course
That is a good way to think about it!
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this post was submitted on 16 Feb 2026
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