This feels meaningless because of the undecideds. It's true Biden is the only person to have beaten Trump directly, and going to anyone else cedes the "incumbent" advantage, maybe all the way back to Trump depending on how you think that advantage works, so I think there's a good argument that it's true Biden would do better than Harris or Newsom against Trump. But I don't think polling is how you argue that.
There's no reason to put "incumbent" in quotation marks there. That is the correct word and it is also a real advantage.
This is the best summary I could come up with:
Polling has shown Biden with an approval rating around 40 percent and most Americans wanting candidates other than him and Trump this November, but the Emerson survey found he was more competitive against the former president than a few other top Democrats.
Newsom and Whitmer have increasingly gained national attention as prominent Democrats, and pundits have included them as possible future presidential candidates.
In the aftermath of the release of special counsel Robert Hur’s report on Biden’s handling of classified documents, which said he appeared in an interview as an “elderly man with a poor memory,” the president has faced increased questions about his mental acuity to serve for another term.
But he has struggled to gain much traction in the race, and Biden has overwhelmingly won the primaries that have been held so far.
Pollsters for Emerson found a higher percentage of voters who said they were undecided in the match-ups with Newsom and Whitmer than with Biden or Harris.
Almost 60 percent of voters said Biden’s age and the multiple criminal indictments against Trump raise serious concerns about their willingness to vote for them.
The original article contains 407 words, the summary contains 186 words. Saved 54%. I'm a bot and I'm open source!
Anyone else listen to Ezra klienes recent pod?
It was an amazing piece basically begging the dnc to ditch Biden.
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