if Meta joins the Fediverse, Meta will be the only one winning. In fact, reactions show that they are already winning: the Fediverse is split between blocking Meta or not. If that happens, this would mean a fragmented, frustrating two-tier fediverse with little appeal for newcomers.

For me the fact that is can be fragmented and still fully functional is the best feature. Anyone that wants unified social media can have whatever meta gives them, anyone that wants to avoid meta can join instances that defederate them, and anyone that doesn't care can just not care. Not sure how this author concludes that the fediverse doing exactly what it was designed to will 'kill' it.

Before I read: I am guessing this is about how meta will absolutely kill the fediverse and that nobody will be using it after they federate on activitypub. Will edit after I read

edit: yup lol, just bad. It assumes XMPP was killed by Google when in fact it is not and still alive. The main big clients still get updates and the main Android client should even get a Material 3 redesign this year! The big Linux client Dino has got a Libadwaita update! But XMPP is dead you tell me. Oh well... Plus in this context, Meta can't really kill the fediverse since 1. it will just end up exactly in the state we are in today and 2. I like the point Mastodon made, the fediverse already has a almost semi-mainstream brand: Mastodon. That alone could very well save it.

In the post it talks about the Fediverse winning. Yeah sure, blocking 99% of the users of the fediverse is winning. An anti-social social media. Talk about an attractive for the mainstream people, that will surely NOT push them to centralized platforms like Threads... Plus I am 99% convinced that Threads being federated is just because of the EU laws forcing interoperability between services, so they can say they support open protocols for communication.

I'm gonna repost this again then: https://www.timothychambers.net/2023/06/23/project-and-the.html

So here's the thing: there are quite a few free and open source technologies Google adopted that have remained free and open source... I'm not convinced Google was trying to kill XMPP, and even if it were, the fact that corporations can often successfully kill non proprietary standards isn't a great argument against wanting corporations to adopt those standards.

If content from Threads is available to the Fediverse and vice versa, then there is certainly a risk that 95% of users end up on Threads (e.g., because the sign up experience is better, because it's conceptually simpler for the non tech savvy, and so on) ... And that, by defederating, Threads could force the remaining 5% to move to Threads to continue seeing content.

The issue with that threat is that it has nothing to do with Threads federating. Guess what? The moment Threads launched, it had 5x as many users as Lemmy does. If simply being big and having a lot of content is what allows a platform to scale to the point that it can use the network effect to kill competition, large social media companies have that advantage whether they federate or not.

Worried that Threads will launch features that aren't accessible unless you're on their instance? Well, if they aren't federated... That'll happen anyway.

What Threads joining the Fediverse does, is provide ~1M users on the fediverse access to content from ~5M more users, and means that everyone leaving a platform like Reddit in favor of a platform like Lemmy sees more content. That is 5x more helpful to getting Lemmy to scale than it is for Threads.

Not this garbage again. How many times is this crap going to get posted?