AGI (artificial general intelligence) will be achieved once OpenAI has developed an AI system that can generate at least $100 billion in profits
nothing to do with actual capabilities.. just the ability to make piles and piles of money.
The same way these capitalists evaluate human beings.
Guess we're never getting AGI then, there's no way they end up with that much profit before this whole AI bubble collapses and their value plummets.
The context here is that OpenAI has a contract with Microsoft until they reach AGI. So it's not a philosophical term but a business one.
Right but that's not interesting to anyone but themselves. So why call it AGI then? Why not just say once the company has made over x amount of money they are split off to a separate company. Why lie and say you've developed something that you might not have developed.
honestly I agree. 100 Billion profit is incredibly impressive and would overtake basically any other software industry in the world but alas it doesn't have anything to do with "AGI". For context, Apple's net income is 90 Billion this year.
I've listened to enough interviews to know that all of AI leaders want this holy grail title of "inventor of AGI" more than anything else so I don't think the definitely will ever be settled collectively until something so mind blowing exists that would really render the definition moot either way.
That's an Onion level of capitalism
Lol. We're as far away from getting to AGI as we were before the whole LLM craze. It's just glorified statistical text prediction, no matter how much data you throw at it, it will still just guess what's the next most likely letter/token based on what's before it, that can't even get it's facts straith without bullshitting.
If we ever get it, it won't be through LLMs.
I hope someone will finally mathematically prove that it's impossible with current algorithms, so we can finally be done with this bullshiting.
There are already a few papers about diminishing returns in LLM.
I just tried Google Gemini and it would not stop making shit up, it was really disappointing.
I'm not sure that not bullshitting should be a strict criterion of AGI if whether or not it's been achieved is gauged by its capacity to mimic human thought
The LLM aren't bullshitting. They can't lie, because they have no concepts at all. To the machine, the words are all just numerical values with no meaning at all.
We taught sand to do math
And now we're teaching it to dream
All the stupid fucks can think to do with it
Is sell more cars
Cars, and snake oil, and propaganda
This is just so they can announce at some point in the future that they've achieved AGI to the tune of billions in the stock market.
Except that it isn't AGI.
But OpenAI has received more than $13 billion in funding from Microsoft over the years, and that money has come with a strange contractual agreement that OpenAI would stop allowing Microsoft to use any new technology it develops after AGI is achieved
The real motivation is to not be beholden to Microsoft
That's not a bad way of defining it, as far as totally objective definitions go. $100 billion is more than the current net income of all of Microsoft. It's reasonable to expect that an AI which can do that is better than a human being (in fact, better than 228,000 human beings) at everything which matters to Microsoft.
Good observation. Could it be that Microsoft lowers profits by including unnecessary investments like acquisitions?
So it'd take a 100M users to sign up for the $200/mo plan. All it'd take is for the US government to issue vouchers for video generators to encourage everyone to become a YouTuber instead of being unemployed.
I suppose that by that point, the AI will be running Microsoft rather than simply being a Microsoft product.
Maybe it'll be able to come up with coherent naming conventions for their products. That would be revolutionary
That’s basically Neuromancer, and at this point it seems that big tech companies are reading dystopian cyberpunk literature as next-gen business advice books, so you’re certainly right
If they actually achieve AGI I don't understand what money would even mean anymore. It essentially is just a mechanism for getting people to do things they don't otherwise want to do, if the AI can do it just as well as the human, but for free other than the electricity costs, why the hell would you pay a human to do it?
It's like saving up money, in case of nuclear war. There are a few particular moments in history where the state of the world on the far side of the event is so different to the world on this side of the event that there's no point making any kind of plans based on today systems.
I see what you're saying and I agree that if, for example, we get an AI god then money won't be useful. However, that's not the only possible near-future outcome and if the world as we know it doesn't end then money can be used by AIs to get other AIs to do something they don't otherwise want to do.
My point is if AI takes over all of the work there won't be any jobs for humans. So they won't have any money.
So who are all the AI companies going to sell their products to? The whole system doesn't work in an AI future and we don't need AI gods to be able to do our jobs, after all most humans are idiots.
Also AI doesn't need motivation.
So they don't actually have a definition of a AGI they just have a point at which they're going to announce it regardless of if it actually is AGI or not.
Great.
Why does OpenAI "have" everything and they just sit on it, instead of writing a paper or something? They have a watermarking solution that could help make the world a better place and get rid of some of the Slop out there... They have a definition of AGI... Yet, they release none of that...
Some people even claim they already have a secret AGI. Or at least ChatGPT 5 sure will be it. I can see how that increases the company's value, and you'd better not tell the truth. But with all the other things, it's just silly not to share anything.
Either they're even more greedy than the Metas and Googles out there, or all the articles and "leaks" are just unsubstantiated hype.
Because OpenAI is anything but open. And they make money selling the idea of AI without actually having AI.
Because they don’t have all the things they claim to claim to have, or it’s with significant caveats. These things are publicised to fuel the hype which attracts investor money. Pretty much the only way they can generate money, since running the business is unsustainable and the next gen hardware did not magically solve this problem.
They don't have AGI. AGI also won't happen for another laege amount of years to come
What they currently have is a bunch of very powerful statistical probability engines that can predict the next word or pixel. That's it.
AGI is a completely different beast to the current LLM flower leaves
Does anyone have a real link to the non-stalkerware version of:
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/microsoft-and-openais-secret-agi-definition
-and the only place with the reference this article claims to cite but doesn't quote?
This is a most excellent place for technology news and articles.
