Eventually the fediverse will grow. Maybe now or in 5-10 years when the rest of the internet users get fed up with the ads and subscription fees etc. on commercial sites. It seems like an inevitable evolution.

I don't think reddit will necessarily fail big time, but it has changed into something that I don't want or need to participate in, so it doesn't really matter to me. I actually don't want them to fail, because the users there who enjoy it for what it is now should be able to use it for ..that.

In the last couple of years it grew too big for my taste anyway. The "Eternal September" phenomena hit it pretty badly. I didn't enjoy the constant noise and immature arguing over semantics. It's a different demographic than Facebook, but it's about the same reason I don't use that either.