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Hollowing out his country on two fronts.

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[-] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 9 points 2 days ago

Right, most of these people are cowards who force others to fight for them. I expect most of them will flee to Europe once it becomes clear that the war is lost. Also, once the army collapses, Russia will very much do purges the same way they did with Germany after WW2. There's already a blueprint for this.

[-] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 7 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

Not so sure about the purges. The Russian state is pretty soft and liberal these days. I think we will see a significant number of terrorist attacks initially before Russia decides to properly crack down. By that point though these Banderite terrorists will have discredited themselves with the majority of Ukrainians since their attacks will primarily harm other Ukrainians, so Russia won't encounter much resistance from the population.

[-] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 5 points 2 days ago

Right, any sort of a partisan movement requires support from the general public, and I just can't see that happening. Another thing to consider is that Ukraine may simply cease to exist as a state. Russia will absorb friendly and neutral territories in the east, while Hungary, Poland, and Romania will grab the ones in the west. That seems like an increasingly likely scenario.

[-] o_d@lemmygrad.ml 5 points 1 day ago

How will the western powers receive the compensation that they think is owed to them if what remains of Ukraine is absorbed by the surrounding NATO countries?

[-] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 7 points 1 day ago

These countries would still mine the resources, and in fact this is a strong incentive for them to do land grabs as it would be seen as a way to bring economic growth by developing these regions. Powers like US would of course prefer a rump Ukraine where they could do this on the cheap, but they might not have the pull at this point to stop the partitioning.

this post was submitted on 05 Feb 2025
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