The problem with a surviving state of ukraine is all the debt that has been incurred will follow them. The most productive parts of the country are in Russia now and will stay that way. Ukraine whether Russian puppet or western will have higher interest payments than GDP. Even if they willingly sell of chunks of western ukraine to european nations they will never pay down their debt.
The only way I see Ukraine surviving as a nation is if they sue the uk and usa for reparations. There's enough evidence that the west pressured ukraine into starting the war and that the war was not popularly supported. There is plenty of evidence that western nations propped up explicitly fascist para-military organizations in Ukraine. (It could even be that the purge of USAID and such is part of a plan to destroy records that could be used to prove complicit.)
The idea of suing the West for reparations is interesting...or maybe i should say amusing, because i doubt it will go anywhere with how much control the West has over international courts. And best case scenario, say they win, the US can always just refuse to pay. I mean can you see Trump ever paying Ukraine or any other country reparations if an international court orders him to? Never in a million years. And frankly i think the same goes for any US administration. They'd rather just pull out of any organizations or treaties that they've signed that would try to make them do something like that.
No, i think the simpler solution is for Ukraine to just default on their debt. In fact not even call it a default but simply declare that they just don't recognize that debt - as far as the new government is concerned it never existed since it was taken on by an illegitimate regime. What's the worst the West can do? Sanction them? The worst sanctions the West could impose would still be better than the only other alternative which is privatize and sell off literally everything and let the IMF run your country (which is what will happen if any kind of western controlled government remains in charge).
The problem with a surviving state of ukraine is all the debt that has been incurred will follow them. The most productive parts of the country are in Russia now and will stay that way. Ukraine whether Russian puppet or western will have higher interest payments than GDP. Even if they willingly sell of chunks of western ukraine to european nations they will never pay down their debt.
The only way I see Ukraine surviving as a nation is if they sue the uk and usa for reparations. There's enough evidence that the west pressured ukraine into starting the war and that the war was not popularly supported. There is plenty of evidence that western nations propped up explicitly fascist para-military organizations in Ukraine. (It could even be that the purge of USAID and such is part of a plan to destroy records that could be used to prove complicit.)
The idea of suing the West for reparations is interesting...or maybe i should say amusing, because i doubt it will go anywhere with how much control the West has over international courts. And best case scenario, say they win, the US can always just refuse to pay. I mean can you see Trump ever paying Ukraine or any other country reparations if an international court orders him to? Never in a million years. And frankly i think the same goes for any US administration. They'd rather just pull out of any organizations or treaties that they've signed that would try to make them do something like that.
No, i think the simpler solution is for Ukraine to just default on their debt. In fact not even call it a default but simply declare that they just don't recognize that debt - as far as the new government is concerned it never existed since it was taken on by an illegitimate regime. What's the worst the West can do? Sanction them? The worst sanctions the West could impose would still be better than the only other alternative which is privatize and sell off literally everything and let the IMF run your country (which is what will happen if any kind of western controlled government remains in charge).