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Danielle Smith is Mark Carney's secret weapon
(www.nationalobserver.com)
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this post was submitted on 24 Mar 2025
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Serious question....even after the Exodus of people from other provinces who affected the provincial election outcomes previously?
This is the data from the 2023 provincial election, so I guess that depends on what exodus you're referring to.
Considering the NDP only needs to flip 6 ridings for an AB majority, and there are at least 6 to flip in Calgary, and that Nenshi is the leader of the NDP now... I think AB will likely see an NDP government next time based on that math alone. Smith being a fucking national embarrassment is just the icing on the cake.
Thank you. I wasn't looking at when the numbers were from. Silly old guy stuff. Careful it happens to everyone eventually.
I'm an old guy so I get it. Also there is a narrative about AB at a national level that's hard to shake.
Flipping (the ideally located) 1380 votes in AB in 2023 would have produced an NDP majority. I don't think Canada really understands the razors Edge that AB sits on.
I lived in Alberta for a long time. My wife is from there. The oil and gas boom really changed the political landscape. Lots of folks do not understand that happened at all. They just run with the typical Alberta Redneck sentiment. The influx of folks from all over made Alberta a lot less conservative and more open.
It also pushed out some wealthy individuals into BC who now seem to be also affecting that political landscape now that one can only assume they have set their claws in the conservative party of BC.
Shit, the NDP via the CCF originates in Calgary, IMO Notley was premier because of Albertans, not because of us who were only there for a few years.
I disagree with that. I had been there already well over a decade as were many of my friends and coworkers during the rise of the NDP. We moved there during the Klien government. Alberta was our home at that point though we were from away and many of us ended up moving out of Alberta during the downturn years.
It's possible that transient voters helped push the needle, but the "deconservativeing" of AB may also be a result of the less exciting explanation of urbanization. In general, urban populations trend "left", and simply put, the share of the total voters (and seats) in urban areas has grown meaningfully since Klien.
Could be a lil' of both, too.
Fair enough, I was only there for a handful of years, but did get to see an NDP premier so was happy with that. I was more meaning that the history is there, Alberta has historically supported NDP politics (especially since as I said, the CCF originates there) and the people I know who were born and raised there definitely still do. Alberta's work/corporate culture I do legitimately miss compared to the bay street one I deal with now, I found it more open and willing to try things for example.
Yea younger generations seem to be typically more forward thinking. Thankfully. I don't work anymore but I enjoyed it. I did a lot of things I wouldn't have been able to elsewhere without a ton of formal education. I learned a lot living there. It really was home and still is in a way.