66
Mainstreet polling, April 13
(lemmy.ca)
| Party Name | Seats (Current) | Seats Change | Percentage (Current) | Percentage Change | Majority Probability | Minority Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 183 | +23 | 43.6% | +11% | 70.5% | 15.7% |
| Conservative | 138 | +19 | 43.2% | +9.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% |
| Bloc | 14 | -18 | 3.5% | -4.1% | 0% | 0% |
| New Democrat | 6 | -19 | 6.2% | -11.6% | N/A | N/A |
Could it be from the liberal operatives planting story?
Like what?
(I'm really just curious, not challenging you or anything.)
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/liberal-oppo-csfn-1.7509217
Though is far too early for any backlash to show up in polls.
EDIT a word
I believe this won't hurt as much as people assume. It might actually break through conservative users' media bubble a little bit because their algorithm is going to push this story down their throats as rage-bait but it also brings to their attention the real divide in the Conservative party currently. Something that might not have reached their eyes otherwise.
It's probably a dumb mistake by overly eager staffers, but I can't shake the feeling that this is somewhat calculated.