183
Election Day Discussion thread [Monday April 28]
(newsinteractives.cbc.ca)
What's going on Canada?
🍁 Meta
🗺️ Provinces / Territories
🏙️ Cities / Local Communities
Sorted alphabetically by city name.
🏒 Sports
Hockey
Football (NFL): incomplete
Football (CFL): incomplete
Baseball
Basketball
Soccer
💻 Schools / Universities
Sorted by province, then by total full-time enrolment.
💵 Finance, Shopping, Sales
🗣️ Politics
🍁 Social / Culture
Rules
Reminder that the rules for lemmy.ca also apply here. See the sidebar on the homepage: lemmy.ca
I’m personally pretty happy with the outcome overall
But yeah exactly what I was thinking would happen did.
Poll aggregators undercounted less traditional voters but did count things like older conservatives moving liberal.
I don’t think this is a “shy conservative” phenomenon, which CBC and polling companies are talking about that a lot today. it’s really a failure in models to adapt to non baseline conditions, and this was sort of a black swan election.
That became clear to me when advanced turnout was so high.
I think the future for models should be to incorporate more “causal” style models, and for pollsters to break their traditional voter demographics up more. Right now it’s not granular enough.
They talked about having higher numbers skewing the models so yeah, it'll be something that'll adjust over time. I'm quite happy with how everything turned out.