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Has International Travel to the U.S. Really Collapsed?
(www.nytimes.com)
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Absolutely!
Right now there's a non-zero chance of being detained, stripped searched, probed and held in a prison cell without access to safe food and water for an unknown length of time before being deported. Hopefully not to a death in a Columbian hellhole.
I don't know about you, but even if that is a tiny chance, I'm not risking myself or my family unless it's really important.
To be honest, even if that wasn't the case I still couldn't be convinced to go south of the border. I don't want to contribute to their economy if I can avoid it.
The chance was always non-zero. It's much higher than usual now.
Remeber these lines for foreign government detention: I wish to speak to the Canaidan embassy & I wish to be released to Canaidan custody. Some nations won't begin the process until you ask.
There was definitely a chance of being denied entry (with possible strip searching), but the usual consequence was being sent back to where you came from on the next plane and never being able to come back. Weeks in ICE custody and concentration camps are completely new.
That's been modus operandi since ICE formation in 2003. It's certainly cranked up with the current administration, but it's not even the first surge push. Obama, for example, punted somewhere around 2.4 million.
Even before that, Ellis Island is a pretty famous detention centre, which itself was predated by Castle Clinton.