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[-] Warl0k3@lemmy.world 66 points 22 hours ago

The July 2025 data shows that Windows' market share on Steam dropped by 0.44% while Linux's market share grew by 0.32%.

While okay this is growth, it's not exactly meteoric. Hopefully the trend picks up steam (cough) as the win10 EOL approaches.

[-] merc@sh.itjust.works 3 points 3 hours ago

Actually, it is meteoric.

Linux's market share didn't grow by 0.32%, it grew by 0.32 percentage points. It actually grew by 12.5% month-over-month. That huge. It went from 2.57% to 2.89%, which is only an increase of 0.32 percentage points. But that's because the starting value is such a small percentage. But, the number itself grew by about 12.5%:

2.57 * 1.125 = 2.89

If it could keep up this month-by-month growth it would go from 2.57% to over 10% within 1 year. If it could keep it up for 2 years Linux would be nearly half of all Steam users.

On one hand, I don't think that would happen because the people making the switch now are early adopters and more adventurous users, so at some point it's going to slow down. On the other hand, I think adoption will speed up at some point once there's a critical mass of Linux users and Valve and nVidia start putting even more effort into Linux builds.

[-] sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com 27 points 19 hours ago

Well uh... if that is month to month growth...

A year at .32% growth works out to about 4% growth, if that is rate is sustained for a year.

That would be roughly a doubling of linux marketshare in a year.

[-] hitmyspot@aussie.zone 33 points 22 hours ago

Lots think the gamers will switch over as win10 gets to EOL. I don’t think so. Most gaming machines need to be more modern tomsupport modern games, so they will likely stick with windows and move to win11. I think Linux has a chance to convert many with older PCs, but they won’t be the gamers.

[-] dimjim@sh.itjust.works 39 points 21 hours ago

Hell I switched to Linux specifically because I refused to get W11. I do have to agree with you though, the average gamer probably won't switch to Linux unfortunately.

[-] kadup@lemmy.world 3 points 18 hours ago

They most certainly will not switch (or switch and not decide to go back after a few weeks) with the timing of the release of Battlefield 6, which requires Windows. It's an EA game, so I'm not touching that, but they're doing a lot of marketing and it's working.

[-] you_are_dust@lemmy.world 22 points 21 hours ago

I'm personally strongly considering switching when support for Windows 10 ends. I actually started testing the waters by installing Mint on an old netbook today. I game on PC, but the truth of why I'm considering changing is because I'm just sick of the crap with windows. Every new edition is just bigger, slower, filled with more bullshit. I'm just getting tired of disabling all the shit they want to force on me. I'm sure I'm not the only one, but of course this is just my personal experience.

[-] CubitOom@infosec.pub 7 points 17 hours ago

This is just wrong. All modern hardware will work on an equally modern kernel.

However when it comes to games, some competitive multiplayer games that require kernel level rootkits might not run on Linux if the developers think gaming on Linux is cheating.

I always suggest cross referencing protondb with you game inventory to see if you would have any issues

[-] hitmyspot@aussie.zone 3 points 17 hours ago

No, you're misunderstanding. Linux supports new and old. Windows only supports newish. Gamers are more likely to be on newer hardware and so the end of win10 will still allow them to upgrade to win11. They won't have obscelecence. Older PC users will have forced obsolescence due to win 11 requirements and the eol of win10.

So, while I expect Linux use to rise with the end of win10, it won't be mainly gamer PCs. Gamers with a steam deck, already familiar with Linux might be included but that's a tiny demographic.

[-] mrgoosmoos@lemmy.ca 4 points 9 hours ago

I think you underestimate the share of gamers that stick with hardware for quite a few years. I maybe I overestimate them. but I think there are tons of people who have computers not eligible for win11

I agree with this and would also like to add the current economic situation to the list. People have less disposable income to spend on buying a brand-new computer just because Windows says so. Especially outside of North America and Europe, people are much more likely to be running hardware that's multiple generations behind the latest hardware. I believe Windows 7 still holds the majority of installs currently in use, and end of life for that was 5 years ago.

[-] LadyMeow@lemmy.blahaj.zone 16 points 21 hours ago

I’m a gamer, and I ditched windows permanently early this year. shrug

[-] hitmyspot@aussie.zone 4 points 21 hours ago

I'm a gamer but on console. My PCs are all older so I use Linux on some of them..one still has windows for work software..it's glitchy enough on Windows so I haven't even tried wine.

[-] Feyd@programming.dev 17 points 20 hours ago

I dunno .32% in a single month seems pretty significant. Obviously it's not like Windows is going to go the way of the dodo but it's looking like Linux may be taking a permanent piece of the pie where it had no staying power before.

[-] kadup@lemmy.world 4 points 18 hours ago

I hate to say it, but it's literally PewDiePie recording a video and showing young gaming fans Linux and calling it "cool". That's it. The guy's got 110M subscribers.

[-] AndyMFK@lemmy.dbzer0.com 6 points 17 hours ago

Maybe. But so what? Pewdiepie wouldn't have made the video if windows didn't have serious problems, and if Linux wasn't an incredibly good kernel to build an OS on.

That video highlighted that you don't have to be technical to use Linux, it's here, and it's ready for mass adoption.

[-] saltesc@lemmy.world 18 points 21 hours ago

It's about half a million active users. So, yeah, a tiny city's worth.

Though things often start snowballing this way and Windows 10 end of life is likely see see a jump.

[-] tisktisk@piefed.social 5 points 22 hours ago

So 2026 year of the Linux?

[-] Cethin@lemmy.zip 0 points 16 hours ago* (last edited 16 hours ago)

Relative, it is. Going front 2% to 2.32% (for example) is pretty good, though I don't know where these numbers come from because the latest I saw had Linux at about 5%, and growing by something like 50-100% per year (for a year). Sure, the total number compared to Windows looks small, but compared to where it was it's growing incredibly quickly.

Edit: Someone said that was monthly, in which case yeah, that's pretty fucking big.

this post was submitted on 15 Aug 2025
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