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this post was submitted on 14 Jan 2026
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Canada wouldn't put up much of an armed defence. They'd take out some invading aircraft and take norad systems offline. There would be some resistance, but officially Canada would surrender quickly. Then there'd be decades of sabotage (eg electrical distribution, poisoned water supplies) plus assassinations throughout the states - and no centralized target for the U.S. to fight back.
They’d maybe be able to nuke, hellfire, or take our cities but the real fight would happen in the treeline. And Canadians would win the insurgency.
Given the current treatment the USA is giving their own people, i could see them implementing nationwide policies to root out Canadian resistance and provide incentives for people to rat out insurgents. I'm not certain decades of sabotage would happen, especially considering how similar their cultures are. I'd imagine most insurgents behavior would stop with 5 years of the surrender and the vast majority of Canadians would accept their new reality. Any remaining incidents would be so infrequent the other violences inherrent in america would drown them out.
Canadians would all be under intense surveillance and I'm pretty sure the USA would not allow us to travel freely. That's how they'd try to stifle guerrilla resistance: they'd pin us down in our towns and cities and watch our every move. Since Canada is still addicted to US tech, in our homes and work and government, such surveillance would be easy and pervasive. And if, like me, you have criticized the USA online for years, you can expect them to know and come for you, and they'll have the camps ready. We would not be living freely under US rule. The idea that we could sit tight and wait for chances to fight back is optimistic.
Hopefully after first inserting some digital sabotage into those systems to interfere with the US invasion plan.