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2025–2026 Alberta independentist crisis
(en.wikipedia.org)
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The thing is, that's unfalsifiable. An unfalsifiable idea about a small, shadowy group of people secretly being behind world events.
A far simpler explanation is that great powers try and exert influence, in actually very poorly hidden ways, but that it rarely works to the degree of countries being puppeted. Instead, middle and small powers spend a lot of time negotiating with and playing great powers off of each other.