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Coding After Coders: The End of Computer Programming as We Know It
(www.nytimes.com)
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It's all just conjecture at this point. I vividly remember how "the cloud" was allegedly going to help organizations eliminate the IT department, dramatically lower operating costs, and basically put every system admin out of a job.
It succeeded at none of those things. It did help some organizations shift costs from CapEx to OpEx. But it also effectively made data centers available to organizations (and individuals) who didn't have access to that kind of technology before. It didn't live up to the hype but it has had a major impact.
Personally, I figure a lot of these "AI" companies are going to fold. There's just not any value in cramming LLM's into every product. Not to mention we've spent the better part of 30+ years trying to get away from users having to type when they want the computer to do something. Moving back away from a "point- and-click" interface, which has hardly reached its general best state, could be a steep uphill battle.
Again, all conjecture.